Low chance of tropical system formation observed east of Florida
The National Hurricane Center has reported that a section of disturbed weather situated east of the Bahamas in the southwestern Atlantic Ocean has a 10% chance of developing into a tropical system in the next few days. The hurricane season has yet to officially commence, but the Atlantic has already shown some action, monitored by authorities closely.
WPTV First Alert Weather meteorologist Jennifer Correa explains that the appearance of the disturbance does not necessarily mean it will strengthen, given that it operates in an environment not suitable for development. Correa adds that strong upper-level winds and dry air would make it difficult for the disturbance to grow, which explains why it only has a 10% chance of developing.
According to the NHC, the drift of the disturbance lies in the north-northeast direction, moving away from South Florida. With this, it further distances itself from the Bahamas, indicating less of a concern for Florida residents, says Correa. As per the hurricane season schedule, it officially starts from June 1 and continues until the end of November.
The prediction for this year’s Atlantic hurricane season, which Colorado State University releases annually and is recognized as one of the top indicators of its severity, suggests a “slightly below-average” season. It specifies that there will be a total of 13 tropical storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or greater.
The monitoring of natural happenings, particularly disasters such as storms and hurricanes, is of utmost importance to avoid damage and loss of life. Keeping an eye on disturbances like this offers valuable input to meteorologists to prepare the public accordingly, and mobilize any resources necessary to mitigate potential damage that may be caused due to the tumultuous weather. Maintaining vigilance throughout the remaining months of the hurricane season should remain a top priority for the authorities in charge.
