How accurate are Punxsutawney Phil’s predictions? It depends where you live

Every February 2, thousands of winter-weary souls gather at Gobbler’s Knob in search of spring. According to legend, if Punxsutawney Phil gets up from his stump and sees his shadow, there will be another six weeks of winter. No shadow? Early spring.

Whether anyone actually believes that this groundhog — or any other groundhog, including New York Staten Island rival Chuck — can predict the weather is a matter of debate, but skepticism aside, his devoted the club shows up every February to help Phil fulfill his prophetic duties.

But how accurate are his predictions?

Analysis of NBC data (yes, indeed) showed that the answer depends on your region.

Looking at his last 50 predictions, Phil predicted winter more often than not – 36 times, or about three out of four predictions. Throughout the country, he was only right on 23 occasions, giving him a 46% accuracy rate.

Locally, Phil’s accuracy rate can range from 44% to 54%, which means you might get more lucky if you predict the next six weeks by flipping a coin.

Good news for everyone ready for spring, as Phil has predicted six more weeks of winter in 2023.

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texasstandard.news contributed to this report.

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